Categories
Economical and financial crisis Economical policy

French Paradoxes

Published in L’Opinion, December 2, 2025

The paradox of the French social model becomes clear in the accumulation of striking figures: according to the latest OECD data, France holds the European record for mandatory levies and public spending, with more than 32% of GDP in direct social transfers. And the consolidated weight of public expenditure far exceeds that of its neighbors—sometimes by nearly ten points of GDP. Yet it seems particularly difficult for public authorities to reduce spending and quite easy to increase taxes, such is the pressure not to touch the former and the almost paroxysmal demand for fiscal justice. One might therefore conclude that it is useless, or even dangerous, to change a model that appears effective and that everyone seems eager to preserve. And yet…

And yet these deep-seated political tendencies fail to confront the rising and unsustainable cost of our model. The deficit has become almost permanent: France posts a significant primary deficit every year, even as the interest burden—thanks to higher rates—has become one of its largest budget lines, and as the public-debt ratio has risen about three times faster than in the rest of the euro area since 2000. This places the country’s ability to finance this societal choice at serious short- and medium-term risk. The Governor of the Banque de France and the IMF now warn of a major sustainability problem, while fiscal room for manoeuvre shrinks as revenues stagnate and the working population declines relative to the number of retirees, owing to demographic trends.

And yet, on the purely economic front, the picture is no more reassuring. The evolution of GDP per capita over the past twenty years shows a gradual French decline relative to more dynamic neighboring countries. While Germany, the Scandinavian countries, and the Netherlands continue to advance, France has been steadily losing ground in the ranking of wealth created per inhabitant. This productive weakening is also evident in the low share of industry in national value added.

And yet 78% of French citizens now consider the level of taxes and social contributions too high (according to the Compulsory Levies Council’s barometer).

The French paradox is also strikingly visible in the perceived effectiveness of public services. Although spending on health, education, and pensions is comparable to or higher than that of other universalist welfare states, the layering of administrative structures, normative inflation, and over-administration undermine the system’s efficiency. The problem is glaring in the hospital sector, where administrative workloads are far higher than in Germany or Nordic countries, without yielding better outcomes for users. The same pattern exists in education, burdened by a heavy organization and struggling to ensure equity, even as international assessments such as PISA and PIAAC now place France at average or mediocre levels compared with high-performing countries across most key competencies. Multiple cost-effectiveness metrics from international organizations place France only in an average—or even poor—position in nearly all domains studied. And the share of citizens who say they trust and are satisfied with their public services stands at 52% in France, versus 66% on average across the OECD. The Compulsory Levies Council’s latest barometer also shows that the share of French people who believe tax money is well used by the state has fallen by 11 points in two years—from 33% to 22%. Should we really avoid changing anything and continue raising taxes and contributions?

The declining effectiveness of French public policy calls into question the sustainability of the social compromise: although the model seeks to protect all citizens through very high taxes and one of the strongest redistribution systems in the OECD, it no longer provides sufficient social mobility—income equality after redistribution is high, but equality of opportunity is far more debatable—nor dynamic growth, nor even efficient and satisfactory public services.

In the absence of structural reform, the continuous rise in public spending is accompanied by growing collective disillusionment. This paradox at the heart of the French model raises questions about its future and heightens the tension between the desire to preserve an ambitious social pact and the need to restore the means to ensure its effectiveness and sustainability over time.

It is time to move beyond today’s unrealistic debates and address France’s structural difficulties head-on. They harm the country’s economic and social health. And without action, sooner rather than later, they will undermine tax consent, the social pact, and national cohesion itself. The apparent paradox could thus swiftly turn into an economic and societal crisis.

Olivier Klein
Professor of Economics, HEC

Categories
Economical and financial crisis Economical policy

Bitcoin in Question: The End of the Dream of a Currency Without a State?

Published in Les Échos , December the 3d , 2025

In early October, and over several weeks, Bitcoin—the emblem of cryptocurrencies and the flagship of a libertarian utopia—experienced a brutal decline: its price fell from nearly €106,000 to €73,000, a drop of about 30% in less than two months, before partially recovering. Over this period, more than $1 trillion in market capitalization vanished from the crypto market as a whole, affecting not only Bitcoin but all major cryptocurrencies such as Ether, Solana, and XRP.

This dramatic volatility highlights the intrinsic fragility of these private, decentralized “currencies,” which rely solely on algorithmic trust rather than on institutional foundations. The dream of a universal, non-national currency able to escape government control had appealed to many advocates of an economy free from state regulation, following in the footsteps of Hayek and the Austrian school. Bitcoin was explicitly designed to counter the monetary manipulation associated with official currencies. The prospect of large, seemingly easy gains also attracted many newcomers.

But this shock exposes the purely self-referential basis of the value of these so-called currencies, which have no underlying economic counterpart—unlike bank money, which is backed by credit to the economy. This makes them hyper-speculative, deeply volatile crypto-assets, whose value bears no relation to real economic needs and is subject to no institutional regulation.

The recent sharp swings thus illustrate a key point: money is never simply a technical object; it is an institutional and social fact. Unlike bank money, which rests on confidence in banks, central banks and states, cryptocurrencies are backed by no “official” institution and therefore depend solely on the collective trust of their holders—trust that can evaporate suddenly. The immediate causes of the decline are multiple: fears of an excessively steep prior rise, reduced expectations of imminent interest-rate cuts in the United States, massive liquidations of highly leveraged positions, risk reduction by institutional investors, and regulatory uncertainty, among others.

Given such volatility, cryptocurrencies cannot impose themselves as a universal means of payment; they remain, de facto, objects of pure speculation, with no objective value external to the crypto market itself. They are therefore highly susceptible to episodes of euphoric exuberance as well as panic and flight. Beyond the philosophical debate between “algorithmic trust” and institutional trust—mirroring the profound differences between the libertarian and the institutionalist schools—the recent sequence marks a return to reality: without the anchoring of institutions, whether visible or invisible, capable of channeling uncertainty and conflict, no currency can sustainably fulfill its role as social and economic mediator, nor ensure the expected stability or efficiency. The promise of Bitcoin and its successors as currencies thus cannot escape the fundamental question faced by any form of money: its universal acceptance depends less on its technology than on its capacity to preserve the trust on which it rests. Failing that, they are nothing more than hyper-speculative objects.

Private currencies can replace “official” currencies only if the latter suffer from profound and prolonged institutional failures—whether state or central-bank failures—leading to a collapse of trust. As of today, the market has reminded us—at least for the moment—that the anarcho-capitalist utopia represented by cryptocurrencies as currencies remains, above all, a utopia.

Olivier Klein
Professor of Economics at HEC
CEO, Lazard Frères Banque

Categories
Conjoncture Economical and financial crisis Economical policy

THE FRENCH POLITICAL, ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL MODEL MUST UNDERGO A DEEP RENEWAL

29.11.2025

Below is an in-depth essay on the necessary renewal of the politico-economic-social model that defines the system in which we live in Europe, regardless of right–left alternations in power. This renewal is all the more essential in France, where this tradition of thought has gradually been diluted into an overdeveloped statism and the byways of wokisme.

“A state that interferes everywhere not only weakens institutions; it also destroys the relations of trust between citizens, for it stands between them and makes them strangers to one another.”
(The Crisis of Culture) — Hannah Arendt

A Model Out of Breath

The model as it exists today in France has run its course. It has contributed a great deal over the decades. But its intellectual foundations have evolved very little—in fact, they have drifted—while at least four major developments have taken place. These developments have been ignored, left unexamined, sometimes denied, or worse still, embraced without understanding their consequences. Let us list them without ranking.

The issue of public authority, security, and migration, along with the rise of Islamist ideology—reshaping the question of what makes a nation. The rise of fierce individualism, marked by the overvaluation of individual rights and the devaluation of duties. The obsession with equality, leading to a dangerous egalitarianism at the expense of equal opportunity and fairness. And finally, the expansion of an oversized public sector whose entropic growth breeds inefficiency, discouragement, loss of trust and rising anxiety.

We will return to each of these points. The essential challenge of the ecological transition is not mentioned here, for our model—with too many dogmas and an insufficiently scientific approach—has nonetheless integrated it relatively well into its framework. We must therefore renew our thinking, or risk becoming obsolete, by exploring areas that have so far been insufficiently examined. Let us try, modestly, to lay a few building blocks.

Market and State

The market is indispensable, for it generates economic dynamism, allocates resources, and matches supply and demand—imperfectly, of course, but irreplaceably. Yet the market cannot be a sufficient regulatory mechanism on its own, for to remain effective and sufficiently stable it needs law, rules, institutions, regulatory bodies, and intermediary groups capable of acting when the market becomes destabilizing. The public sphere is therefore essential to regulating the market, the economy, and society at large.

Thus the State—in the broad sense—is necessary for maintaining society’s balance, including by fostering intermediary bodies such as trade unions, which help regulate the whole. The various forces at play in society can then be channelled more or less harmoniously in a shifting, inherently unstable balance. And this regulatory model has enabled—unevenly and not linearly—a rise in well-being, relatively well shared across European countries.

The most developed manifestations of this regulatory model, combining ethics and efficiency, have been found in Northern Europe and Germany. Later, with nuances, a form of social democracy spread across Europe and became, volens nolens, one of its defining features. Overall, our model, with its variants, has for decades achieved a successful combination of markets with institutions and rules—including redistributive ones.

We use the term social market economy in a broad sense, beyond the alternation of right- and left-wing governments, to designate the common foundation that best captures the regulatory mode of European countries.

However, Europe now appears to be experiencing a relative decline—and in recent years even a significant economic lag behind the American model. The proliferation of norms and regulations, the weaker incentives for initiative and risk-taking, and the unchecked drive for equality—not fairness—seem to be part of the explanation. This model, even in its reformist versions aware of this dangerous trajectory, has become insufficient.

Authority, Security, Immigration

It is essential to integrate into public-policy thinking the issues of public authority, security, and better regulation and integration of immigration. Failing to address these matters in a republican manner leaves them to populist movements, which can then attract voters who are rightly dissatisfied at not being heard on sensitive issues of daily life.

These subjects are crucial, and they must not be treated moralistically or with disdain. Likewise, conceiving a country, a nation, as a multicultural kaleidoscope with no unity, no real borders, no shared culture, no genuine identity, and with nothing in common but disembodied universal values is an ethereal vision that dissolves history, geography and the very notion of nationhood. It ignores the cultural bonds that forge a country, enabling its inhabitants to recognize themselves within it and live together. Denying this truth leads sooner or later—volens nolens—to disaster.

Renan had already said it all: “What unites us is not a language, a religion or a race, but a shared past and a shared willingness to live together. A nation is a soul, a spiritual principle, built on the memory of past glories and the present consent to continue that common life. A nation is a daily plebiscite.” Let this be an inspiration.

These fundamental issues, however, will not be further developed in this paper.

Over-administration: a Brake on Action

We must also examine carefully the loss of effectiveness in the public sphere. Just as markets are not free of errors and endogenous dysfunctions, public decisions may be ineffective, or simply wrong. Neither markets nor the State are omniscient. We must acknowledge—beyond ideology—that public policy may fail, be unsuitable, or even undesirable. It may even generate perverse effects contrary to its goals.

This must become core to the renewal of social-market-economy thinking. It is worth remembering that there is no “evil capital” and “virtuous State.” No camp of good and camp of evil. This simplistic and dangerous Manichaeism is misleading. Capital and its institutional counterpart each follow their own logic of endless expansion—there, in terms of return, accumulation; here, in terms of control and power. Both feel, like living organisms, the vital need to grow. Yet both are necessary and complementary—so long as neither is allowed to dominate and destabilize the delicate balance required for progress.

The State’s Logic of Growth: Over-administration
We must think freely about the decades-long expansion in France of an omnipresent State that increasingly intermediates relations among individuals—that is, between individuals and society. This State exercises ever-tighter control over citizens and, in an entropic dynamic, develops an ever-heavier over-administration with diminishing returns.

This analysis is especially necessary in Europe—and more particularly in France—much more than in the United States. Over-administration breeds discouragement, nostalgia, and a sense of powerlessness. It also drives individuals to seek maximal advantage for themselves, or even, for some, to desire sedition or insubordination. Through its intrinsic logic of endless growth, over-administration infantilizes people and continually pushes them to demand ever more from the State. This inevitably leads to disappointment, which in turn fuels fear—even in the face of small problems—because the sense of personal responsibility has been eroded.

Too much State intervention atomizes individuals² and alienates them from their own capacity to act. An overintrusive State can undermine self-confidence and mutual trust. It hampers individual and collective action and weakens self-organized solidarity within society.

“Action is what enables human beings to appear before one another, to reveal themselves in their singularity, and to build a common world. When the State monopolizes this capacity, citizens are reduced to mere spectators.”
— Hannah Arendt, The Human Condition

In short, following Arendt’s insight, this dynamic erodes the necessary balance between individual and collective freedom and responsibility on the one hand, and necessary social regulation on the other. “The danger is not only in the violence of authoritarian regimes but also in the gradual slide into a soft, paternalistic administration that suffocates freedom under the pretext of protection.”

The Essential Combination of Ethics and Efficiency

Since the public sphere can err and tends to expand until its effectiveness collapses, the State must regain clarity of vision and vigour. It must avoid developing superfluous structures and refrain from generating unnecessary laws, rules and institutions. The public sphere must ensure the best possible balance between ethics and efficiency; neither belongs exclusively to the market or to the State. Their interplay is complex and interwoven. Ethics and efficiency belong together in companies and in society as a whole; neither can endure without the other.

Hyper-democracy

We must also question democracy’s natural trajectory—its endogenous dynamic—what I call hyper-democracy. Democracy can generate its own excesses. Tocqueville already warned of this. Without deep reflection on these tendencies, democracy can weaken itself and ultimately even disappear, paving the way for populism—whether far right or far left.

We cannot avoid reflecting on democracy’s own specific excesses: the endless expansion of individual rights, enforceable against everyone else, combined with the erosion of duties. This leads to extreme individualism, egoism, and fragmentary communautarisme. These are symptoms of total self-absorption. And ideologically, they are reinforced by the simplistic idea that everyone is necessarily either an oppressor or oppressed, with thought policed by new dogmas.

This produces hatred of the Other—those assigned as oppressors, burdened with indelible guilt. The oppressed, in turn, are deemed to be freed forever from duty or responsibility. Redemption for the “oppressor” is only possible through total re-education and self-denunciation. A fantasy reminiscent of totalitarianism.

All this hides behind totemic words, repeated endlessly—hollow words but mandatory, belonging to the “good” camp. Other words become shameful, forbidden. A police of morals, a police of thought. Wokisme is the caricature and most advanced expression of this distortion of democracy. It is not an extension of democracy, nor of progressivism. It is a new ideology of democratic excess, ultimately destructive of democracy itself.

Opposing wokisme—understood as the intolerant, totalitarian radicalization of progressive activism—is neither conservatism nor reaction. The defenders of the democratic, liberal, social-market model cannot leave the critique of wokisme to populists alone, at the risk of disappearing themselves. The American example is clear; so is that of today’s French Socialist Party, absorbed by NFP/LFI as the RN grows in parallel.

Other endogenous excesses also emerge from hyper-democracy: the quest for absolute equality, magical thinking that suffocates the very dynamism of society. As Tocqueville wrote: “There is no passion so fatal to man and society as the love of equality, which can debase individuals and lead them to prefer a common mediocrity over individual excellence.”

Without self-reflection and regulation, our model drifts fatally. We must reassess absolute equality, equality of rights, equality of opportunity, and fairness, along with their moral, economic and social implications.

Hyper-democracy leads to regression, the erosion of economic dynamism and well-being, financial collapse, and moral decay. It unleashes the lowest passions—jealousy, resentment, hatred—which are already at work.

Without renewed thinking about democracy’s endogenous excesses, about over-administration and its effects, about the legitimate republican need to restore public authority, and about better immigration regulation and integration, mistrust toward democracy will not diminish. The rise of populism does not originate solely in these factors, but it would be dangerous to deny that they are part of the cause.

A False “Progressivism” Concealing a True Regression

Benevolence—or blindness—toward the causes and consequences of these four trends does not constitute progressivism, despite its self-presentation. Quite the opposite. These phenomena confine, isolate, and provoke fatal regressions in relation to humanist and universalist values—always values of progress, responsibility, emancipation and harmony. Imperfectly realized, yes, but they have enabled societies to recognize and respect minorities without doing so at the expense of the majority. They have supported racial, gender and social equality, and facilitated equality of opportunity.

The combination of too much State with hyper-democracy creates a pernicious, destructive dynamic resolved only through limitless expansion of rights and the collapse of duties and responsibilities, as well as through declining effectiveness of socio-economic regulation. This generates societal mistrust toward institutions, politics, and others—in short, toward society itself. And ultimately, it drives unsustainable public debt.

A society with a social market economy must ensure essential protection for the most vulnerable while balancing this with individual and collective responsibility. The welfare state is essential, but it cannot and must not attempt to protect from everything, without limit, at the cost of widespread disempowerment.

Tocqueville again: “The sovereign extends its arms over society as a whole; it covers its surface with a network of small, complicated, minute, uniform rules… it does not break wills, but it softens and bends them… until each nation is reduced to nothing more than a flock of timid, industrious animals, of which the government is the shepherd.”

The Survival of the Social Market Economy Model

The proper balance—the viable equilibrium—has been broken. This endangers the welfare state itself, and thus the precious social protection it provides.

The present analysis questions whether democracy, social democracy, and the public sphere can avoid entropic decline and stabilize at an equilibrium combining justice (ethics), efficiency (wealth creation), and economic and social well-being.

This is a matter of survival for our European socio-economic model. With specifically French shortcomings making the system increasingly inefficient, our regulatory model will sooner or later become incapable of reproducing itself—incapable of surviving. If renewal does not come in time, the consequences will be widespread impoverishment and a moral and financial collapse.

The reflection must therefore continue. How can we design mechanisms that limit these excesses? How can we restore the vital equilibria that allow our societies to survive and regain vitality?

That is the challenge. It is a fundamental question for our future, our “model,” our Europe, and our country.

Olivier Klein
Professor of economics at HEC Paris

Categories
Economical and financial crisis Economical policy

What a Misunderstanding of Economic Financing!

The Myth of Idle Bank Deposits

While much has been said about euro life insurance policies to re-establish their economic usefulness, the myth of “idle” bank deposits seems to persist. Yet bank deposits can in no way be described as “unproductive.”

As of mid-2025, total bank deposits amount to about €2.6 trillion. The total volume of loans granted by credit institutions to French residents stands at around €2.9 trillion — €1.4 trillion to businesses and €1.5 trillion to households.

An Economic Aberration

Deposits do not sleep! Banks are massively financing the French economy — precisely thanks to these bank deposits, whatever their form: checking accounts, term deposits, savings accounts, and so on.

And while large companies and mid-sized firms can access financial markets directly — though they still rely partly on bank financing — small and medium-sized enterprises, self-employed professionals, shopkeepers, artisans, and households can only obtain financing through banks. Bank deposits are therefore indispensable to the French economy and intensely productive.

To impose a 1% tax on sight deposits — which earn nothing for their holders but are essential to the economy — would be an economic and financial absurdity. Rational savers would seek to reduce their sight deposits as much as possible. Alternatively, they might shift their savings to interest-bearing bank products, driving up banks’ funding costs and, consequently, the cost of credit. Such a shift would weigh on economic growth.

Another predictable consequence would be a transfer of savings to non-bank instruments, forcing banks to reduce lending to the economy — again hampering growth and employment.

The Same Effect on Term Deposits

Currently, term deposits yield around 2% over 3–6 months, sometimes less. Their remuneration depends on the European Central Bank’s key interest rates. Taxing household deposits held by those subject to the “unproductive wealth tax” (i.e., those with total assets of at least €1 million) at 1% would wipe out at least half of that return — before income tax on savings is even applied.

Since these interest earnings are already taxed at the flat rate, the remaining net return after this double taxation would be negligible. The result would be an inevitable flight of funds.

Let’s Avoid Misunderstanding the Basics of Economic Financing

As in many aspects of economics, what matters most is balance — an effective balance between consumption and saving, so that investment can take place and generate healthy, sustainable growth.

Savings placed in banks, life insurance, equities, or bonds finance the investments of households (in housing) and businesses. Bank deposits and life insurance are therefore not only useful — they are essential to financing investment and growth.

The figures, as well as the simple description of economic and financial mechanisms, make this clear. Out of ignorance or excess zeal, let us not create damage for the French economy and for society as a whole.

Olivier Klein is a professor of economics at HEC and a bank C executive.

Categories
Economical policy

The thinking of social democracy must be profoundly renewed in France

“A State that interferes everywhere does not only weaken institutions; it also destroys the bonds of trust between citizens, for it interposes itself between them and makes them strangers to one another.”
La Crise de la culture – Hannah Arendt

The thought of social-democracy as it exists in France has run its course. It has contributed a great deal for decades. But its intellectual model has hardly evolved, even though at least four important trends have emerged. These have been ignored, not analysed, sometimes denied, or, even worse, followed without seeing the consequences. Let us cite them, in no particular order of priority. The question of public authority, of security and the migratory phenomenon with the rise of Islamist ideology, which brings into focus what constitutes a nation. The rise of fierce individualism, with the overvaluation of each person’s rights and the devaluation of duties. The obsession with equality, bringing a dangerous egalitarianism at the expense of the pursuit of equal opportunity and fairness. The development, finally, of an overgrown public sphere, whose entropy breeds inefficiency, discouragement, loss of confidence, and growing unease… We shall return to each of these points. The issue of the necessary climate transition is not here mentioned, as social-democracy—though with too many dogmas and an insufficiently scientific approach—has rather well integrated it into its core thinking. Social-democracy must thus renew its thinking, or risk becoming obsolete, by addressing certain territories so far too little explored within its own ranks. Let us attempt to lay a few modest foundations.

Market and State

The market is indispensable, for it generates economic dynamism, resource allocation, and a match between supply and demand that may be imperfect, but is irreplaceable. Nevertheless, the market cannot, by itself, be a sufficient mode of regulation; to be sustainably efficient and sufficiently stable, it needs law, rules, institutional authorities, regulatory bodies, and intermediary organizations capable of acting when the market gets out of order or develops a destabilizing dynamic. The public sphere is thus indispensable for regulating the market, the economy and, more generally, society. The State (in the broad sense) is necessary for the harmonious balance of society, including by encouraging the existence of intermediary bodies, like trade unions, to regulate everything properly. The various forces of society are then channelled more or less harmoniously, in a balance, even if this balance is by nature changeable and unstable. And this model of regulation has, albeit unevenly and non-linearly, enabled an increase in well-being. And this, relatively well shared in European countries… Until now, the most accomplished expressions of this mode of societal regulation—combining ethics and efficiency—have appeared in Northern Europe and Germany. Then, with nuances, a form of social-democracy spread throughout Europe and became, willy-nilly, one of its defining features. Overall, social-democracy, in its variants, has for decades successfully combined the market and institutions and rules (including redistributive ones).
We will therefore use the term social-democracy in a broad sense, that is, beyond alternations between left and right governments, as the common foundation that broadly defines the way European countries regulate themselves.
Yet Europe seems today to be experiencing a relative decline, and even, for some years now, a significant economic lag, particularly compared to the American model. The multiplication of norms and regulations, less incentive to be enterprising or take risks, and a pursuit of equality—rather than equity—pushed without limit, appear to be some elements of explanation. Even its reformist currents, aware of this dangerous trajectory, have become insufficient… It is first and foremost essential to integrate into social-democratic thinking and public action the questions of public authority, security, and more effective management and integration of immigration. If not, failing to address these issues in a republican way will leave exclusive control of the narrative to populist movements, capable of attracting rightly discontented voters on sensitive everyday issues. These topics are crucial, and should not be treated moralistically or with contempt. In the same vein, to conceive of a country, a nation, as a multicultural kaleidoscope with no unity, no real borders, no shared culture, no identity, with only abstract universal values, is an ethereal vision, dissolving history, geography, and the Nation itself. It ignores the cultural bonds that allow a country’s people to recognize themselves and live together. To deny this is to provoke, sooner or later, the worst, willy-nilly. Renan already said it all: “What unites us is not a language, a religion, or a race, but a shared past and a common will to live together. A nation is a soul, a spiritual principle, based on the memory of past glories and the current consent to continue that shared life. A nation is a daily plebiscite.” Let this inspire reflection! Although fundamental, these topics are not specifically developed further here…
Next must be carefully analysed the diminishing efficiency of the public sphere. Just as the market is not immune to errors and endogenous dysfunctions, decisions by public authorities can be ineffective, even the wrong ones. Neither markets nor the State are omniscient. It is vital to recognise, beyond any ideology, that a public policy can indeed be ineffective. Worse, it can be inappropriate, even undesirable, with effects contrary to those sought. This must be central to the renewal of social-democratic thought. There is no “evil capital” and “good State”. No camp of evil and camp of good. This Manichean view is not only simplistic but dangerous and misleading. There is capital and its double (1), each with its own logic for endless development—return and capitalisation, on the one hand; control and power, on the other. Both, like all living organisms, feel the need to grow. Yet both are necessary and complementary, as long as neither totally imposes itself to such an extent as to destabilize the delicate balance permitting both to be effectively combined. That is what enables a society of progress…

The Logic of State Expansion: Over-Administration

We must therefore think freely to analyse the development, over decades in France, of an omnipresent State tending to intermediate everyone’s relations with each other and with society. This State exerts ever-closer control over individuals and develops an entropic, ever-heavier over-administration with diminishing returns… If the logic of State development and the public sphere must be thought through, this analysis is much more necessary in Europe and more particularly in France than in the US. Over-administration produces a feeling of helplessness, discouragement and nostalgia; it also encourages self-maximisation for some, or for others, a desire for rebellion or insubordination. With its own logic of unending growth, over-administration tries to respond to everything, infantilising people and constantly pushing for more State demand—which brings inevitable disappointment and, in turn, anguish, the insurmountable fear faced with the smallest problem, as individual responsibility is reduced and diminished. Too much State leads to atomisation of individuals and their alienation from their own ability to act. Over-administration and an overly intrusive State can indeed lead to a collapse of trust in oneself and between people, and hinder individual and collective action. They erode self-organized solidarity between members of society…

“Action is what allows people to appear before others, reveal their uniqueness and build a common world. When the State monopolizes this capacity, citizens are reduced to spectators.”
Hannah Arendt, The Human Condition.

In short, as Hannah Arendt insightfully argues, this dynamic induces a loss of the necessary balance between, on one side, freedom and individual or collective responsibility, and on the other, necessary regulation to organize a just society.
“The danger is not only the violence of authoritarian regimes, but the gradual drift towards a gentle and paternalistic administration that stifles freedom under the guise of protection.” she also writes.

The Essential Combination of Ethics and Efficiency
Faced with possible errors by the public sphere, and its tendency to expand until its effectiveness is significantly reduced and obstacles pile up for the energy of society, the State at large must regain vision and vigour to best accomplish its mission. It must avoid developing unnecessarily. And avoid issuing laws, rules, and creating various and sundry institutions not strictly required for the proper functioning of the economy or for society in general. The public sphere must, therefore, ensure the best possible combination of ethics and efficiency. Neither concept belongs exclusively to the market or the State. Their roles in this respect are much more complex and intertwined. Ethics and efficiency, two notions that must be united in companies as in society as a whole, since they are indispensable to each other in a dialectical tension. One cannot last without the other and vice versa. There is no sustainable ethics without efficiency, nor sustainable efficiency without ethics. And the two are not oppositional or dichotomous. Public authorities must permanently reflect on this dialectic…

Hyper-Democracy and Hyper-Social-Democracy

We should also question the natural tendency of democracy, and social-democracy, their endogenous dynamic. What I call hyper-democracy and hyper-social-democracy. These can create their own excesses. Tocqueville already warned of democracy’s internal logic. Without deep reflection on these trajectories, democracy and social-democracy can lead to their weakening, and even, ultimately, their possible demise. With, looming, the arrival of populism—left or right…
We cannot ignore excesses specific to democracy, produced by its own momentum: an ever-widening extension of rights, always pitted against the rights of others, and, symmetrically, the gradual abandonment of duties. This means individualism and egoism taken to the greatest extreme, and highly segmented, heightened communitarianism. Both are signs of complete self-enclosure. Alongside, as manifestation and justification, comes the idea that everyone is either oppressor or oppressed, with any questioning of the new dogmas forbidden. This leads, contrary to the claims of its proponents, to hate of others—those burdened with the fault of being the oppressor by pre-assigned status and inescapable guilt. The only possible forgiveness for the supposed oppressor is total re-education after confession and admission of fault. Fantasies and manipulation of history are rewritten through the simplistic oppressor-oppressed pair, everyone assigned to their original box. History, thus rewritten, is bent to this view. All resemblance to totalitarianism…? All this concealed behind words turned into totems, repeated endlessly. Words voided and emptied, but made mandatory, while others become forbidden and shameful. Morality police, thought police. Wokism is clearly the caricature and most accomplished expression today of this total distortion of the concept of democracy. It is not in any way an extension of democracy. It is not a continuation of progressivism. It is the new ideology of democracy’s excesses. An ideology, ultimately, that destroys the reality of democracy itself. To oppose wokism—understood as the intolerant and totalitarian radicalization of progressive activism—is neither conservatism nor reaction. Social-democratic thought should neither ignore nor abandon criticism and opposition to wokism to populism. Otherwise, it risks dissolving itself, and disappearing. The American example shows this well (the Democratic party defeated by Trump even in traditional strongholds, geographic and ethnic alike). In France, today’s Socialist Party gives a striking example, absorbed, unless it deliberately acts otherwise, by the NFP/LFI, mirrored by the rise of the RN…

We must also analyze the excesses of social-democracy itself. Social-democracy and democracy are obviously not totally distinct. Here we distinguish them formally, for they are not identical, and to facilitate analysis. Its excesses, developed from within, can be summed up as a search for absolute ultimate equality. Magical thinking that hides lack of depth. Absolute equality in all things, everyone with everyone, leads to universal jealousy, to sad passions. And also to condemnation of what drives the dynamism of society—effort and the quest for progress. There lies the root of progress itself. Tocqueville:
“There is no passion so fatal for man and society as this love of equality, which can degrade people and push them to prefer common mediocrity to individual excellence.”…

Social-democracy, without self-reflection and control of its own excesses, slides towards these fatal dynamics. The distinctions between “absolute” equality, equality of rights, equality of opportunity and fairness must all be reconsidered, along with their diverse moral, economic and social effects…
Thus, hyper-democracy and hyper-social-democracy bring about regressions and the risk of a gradual extinction of the inner drive of societies and economies, and so of well-being. They lead to financial failure, and thus social failure. But they also seriously undermine the capacity to live together and respect the necessary compromises between freedom and rules. They bring about moral failure, letting the lowest passions—jealousy, resentment, hatred—run loose. These are already at work…
There can be no renewal of social-democratic thought, nor lessened mistrust towards democracy, without a thorough analysis of the natural rise of the specific excesses of democracy and social-democracy, their hypertrophy, over-administration and its effects, as well as the legitimate republican need for a return of public authority and better regulation and integration of immigration. The general rise of populism, to be sure, has more causes than just these. But it would be dangerous to deny that here too lies part of its origin…

A Fake “Progressivism” Hides a Real Regression

Benevolent blindness to the causes and consequences of these four trends is not progressivism, even if it borrows its virtues. Quite the contrary. It confines, isolates, and causes fatal regression against values of both humanism and universalism—always values of progress, responsibility and emancipation, as well as harmony. These values may never have been fully realized, of course. But they did allow humanity in certain civilizations to recognize and respect minorities, and without harming the majority (a democratic principle otherwise outrageously and dangerously twisted). They led to equality between races, sexes, and social origins. They also helped facilitate equal opportunities rather than the assignment, from birth, of one’s status due to one’s parents’ caste, for instance. The combination of too much State with hyper-democracy and hyper-social-democracy produces this insidious and destructive malaise, only resolved by the boundless rise of rights and the collapse of duties and responsibilities. As with the loss of effectiveness of socio-economic regulation… And with it, a loss of societal trust, mistrust of institutions, of politics, of others, and ultimately, society itself.
And, in the end, a never-ending, unsustainable growth in public debt.
For a social market economy to endure, the assurance—especially for the poorest and those struck by adversity or circumstance—of essential protection by society, that is, for the most part, by the public sphere in a modern society, must be coupled in a balanced way with individual, family, and autonomous group responsibility. The welfare state, yes, but it cannot—it must not, on pain of entropy—seek to provide unlimited protection, with the result of making its members irresponsible to themselves and to others. Tocqueville again:
“The sovereign extends its arms over the whole of society; it covers its surface with a network of small, complicated, minute, and uniform rules, through which the most original minds and the boldest spirits cannot break to rise above the crowd; it does not break wills, but it softens them, bends, and guides them; it does not tyrannize, it hampers, represses, enervates, extinguishes, and reduces each nation to being nothing more than a flock of timid and hardworking animals, whose government is the shepherd.”…

Survival of the Social Market Economy Model

The right combination, the viable balance, is for now broken. This endangers the welfare state and thus the precious safety net. Criticism of administration is as old as time, of course. But this analysis questions the capacity of democracy, social-democracy, and, closely linked, the public sphere, not to succumb to entropy, to stabilize at a point of equilibrium marrying ethics (or justice) and efficiency (wealth production), and socio-economic well-being.
It is thus a question of survival for our European socio-economic model. With its specifically French flaws, making the system ever more inefficient, our model will soon be unable to reproduce—i.e. survive—unless a rebound comes in time, with the consequence, if not, of widespread impoverishment and both moral and financial ruin.
The reflection must continue. How can mechanisms be invented to limit these excesses? How can we recover the vital balances for our societies to survive and revive? That is the whole challenge. It is a fundamental question for our future, our “model”, our Europe, and our country.

Note 1:Marc Guillaume, PUF

Note 2: The atomization of individuals, as well as the loss of meaning concerning collectivity and society, is also caused by the rise of social networks, which in addition transmit both false and true information that distorts the relation to truth and increases individualism. Alongside the omnipresent State, this too boosts the rise of populism. But their roots differ and cannot be conflated.

Categories
Economical and financial crisis Economical policy

Excessive Public Debt Can Lead to a Breakdown of Trust in Society

The idea that the central bank can, by cancelling the public debt it holds, erase the problem, is a recurring temptation. Yet such a strategy is ineffective while also carrying serious dangers. On the budgetary front, the cancellation of debt held by the central bank brings no lasting benefit to the Treasury. Indeed, the Banque de France, owned by the State, returns its profits—including those derived from the interest paid by the State on the bonds it issues and the Bank purchases—back to the Treasury in the form of dividends. Cancelling the debt therefore amounts to cancelling both the interest burden and the corresponding dividend flow.

Debt monetization—that is, its purchase by the central bank—can temporarily resolve the painful increase in interest costs that markets could impose in the event of heightened concern over debt levels. However, this solution nonetheless entails fundamental dangers as soon as it becomes repeted and permanent.

Unlimited monetization or outright cancellation of all or part of the debt can profoundly disrupt the functioning of economic actors. In fact, they remove the monetary constraint: the need to repay debt or refinance it under “normal” conditions.

Yet confidence in money corresponds to a reliable and efficient system for settling debts. Money is indeed the instrument that discharges the debts arising from commercial exchanges. A loss of confidence in the proper settlement of debts thus leads to a loss of confidence in the outcome of exchanges, and in money in the very essence of its function. Money is therefore the fundamental bedrock of social cohesion in market economies, as Michel Aglietta has analyzed.

The loss of confidence in money, stemming from the abusive use of debt that ultimately requires monetization or cancellation, is not just a theoretical risk. Many economic episodes—from Weimar Germany to more recent cases in emerging economies like Argentina—illustrate the distrust, even flight from money, when it is no longer anchored in sound management of public finances and monetary policy. This flight may then shift, for example, toward locally created alternative currencies, gold, or today’s crypto-assets. The resulting social, economic, and political crises are dramatic. In France, the euro mitigates this risk, but other member countries could sooner or later refuse to share in such a danger.

An uncontrolled rise in debt is therefore not just a technical or budgetary issue: it opens the way to a fundamental challenge to confidence in money and to the stability of society itself. Easy solutions that rely on discretionary monetization or debt cancellation in disregard of common rules expose society to a systemic danger.

Olivier Klein
Professor of Economics at HEC